Champions League · resolved market
Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e637d4f7aecdcdfa95470e8c24c02d27152e3253cb5e676675f27178f570313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 50c | 18,104$9,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,042.82 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 50c | 5,560$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.04 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 62c | 3,881$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.47 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,468$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.53 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 51c | 2,395$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed No | 27c | 1,755$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…18d5backed Yes | 50c | 1,581$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed No | 27c | 1,486$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 1,421$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.93 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 64c | 1,296$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,128$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 55c | 877.93$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.07 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 24c | 499.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 74c | 470.24$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 74c | 415.7$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 41c | 349.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 50c | 222.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 67c | 164.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 136.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 76c | 111.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 75c | 108.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Yes | 50c | 71.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd49…b4a8backed Yes | 50c | 62.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 46c | 47.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321b…f57abacked Yes | 76c | 47.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 64c | 44.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 50c | 42.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 59c | 42.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…5654backed No | 27c | 41.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…8400backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 68c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…46d2backed No | 47c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…f7f8backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…e1f6backed Yes | 75c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…900abacked Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys?this page
- Will Young Boys beat Stuttgart?No won
- Will the match between Stuttgart and Young Boys end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.