CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. paiN Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4628aca639ae643b65d4eab499415a60a62bfe8e64b8dd897a2b696147f596d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Spirit | 75c | 15,984$11,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed paiN | 25c | 8,849$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.23 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed paiN | 25c | 5,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked paiN | 22c | 4,550$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 0c | 4,428$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed paiN | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 78c | 2,222$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 77c | 1,529$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked paiN | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 18c | 1,500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 78c | 1,304$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked paiN | 23c | 1,253$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Spirit | 77c | 1,182$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed paiN | 21c | 1,142$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spirit | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spirit | 80c | 830.68$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Spirit | 77c | 825.62$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Spirit | 79c | 689.98$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed paiN | 20c | 645.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked paiN | 17c | 599.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed paiN | 31c | 317.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed paiN | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed paiN | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Spirit | 79c | 199.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed paiN | 20c | 178$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…d0e4backed Spirit | 80c | 133.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Spirit | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed paiN | 23c | 108.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed paiN | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…76e9backed Spirit | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked paiN | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed Spirit | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked paiN | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Spirit | 78c | 57.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed paiN | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed paiN | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Spirit | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.