Valorant · resolved market
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40fb0b0dee01921751bd6fa3f7798ac123516c29b2e8dcff9a69e7bfb420db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked No | 48c | 6,452$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 52c | 5,945$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 984.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Yes | 65c | 304.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 52c | 292.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…6b54backed Yes | 72c | 268.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1972…481ebacked Yes | 54c | 230.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 16c | 199.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked No | 54c | 185.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 59c | 142.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Yes | 45c | 115.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 27c | 113.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 46c | 111.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…abfcbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…141cbacked Yes | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 62c | 55.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 63c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 73c | 34.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da0…0f46backed Yes | 56c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paper Rex win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?this page
- Will Fnatic win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?No won
- Will Wolves Esports win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.