CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e662828672711d17bc8c9f3665f0fb4ddb149812b1fe2a3dc82e61601764eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Falcons, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked B8 | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Falcons | 80c | 1,900$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed B8 | 20c | 1,835$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.83 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 22c | 1,475$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.27 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked B8 | 19c | 1,371$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.48 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…f06abacked Falcons | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Falcons | 80c | 608.95$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.16 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Falcons | 76c | 510$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Falcons | 79c | 500$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed B8 | 22c | 435.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.86 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed B8 | 20c | 408.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Falcons | 78c | 399.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed B8 | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…a27abacked Falcons | 78c | 287.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Falcons | 80c | 287$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed B8 | 20c | 278.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked B8 | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed B8 | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed B8 | 20c | 144$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed B8 | 20c | 115$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed B8 | 67c | 100.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked B8 | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked B8 | 35c | 84.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…2e5bbacked Falcons | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed B8 | 20c | 79.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Falcons | 80c | 52.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked Falcons | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…fff8backed Falcons | 80c | 24.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…bef1backed B8 | 80c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…4b38backed Falcons | 79c | 14.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…c204backed Falcons | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…9fdcbacked Falcons | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.