NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f3876780e636c6d7e2949c034107f9b053a1ebc26605bcb5961973b0267ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Spurs | 1c | 21,731$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Spurs | 34c | 10,152$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Spurs | 0c | 10,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs | 5c | 7,834$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,501$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.09 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 58c | 4,700$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.32 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs | 45c | 4,312$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.92 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs | 1c | 4,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 57c | 3,421$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.83 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Spurs | 9c | 2,608$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…fab0backed Heat | 40c | 2,483$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…fc9abacked Spurs | 42c | 2,305$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…e331backed Heat | 60c | 2,069$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…891cbacked Spurs | 41c | 1,755$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Heat | 60c | 1,673$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.89 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs | 45c | 1,662$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.84 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 3c | 1,584$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 37c | 1,465$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 59c | 1,444$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.05 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Heat | 55c | 1,443$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs | 42c | 1,412$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.89 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Heat | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Spurs | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Spurs | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Heat | 57c | 1,150$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Spurs | 42c | 1,142$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.64 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs | 1c | 1,132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 44c | 1,059$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.27 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Spurs | 59c | 1,044$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Heat | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Spurs | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Heat | 59c | 945.25$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.55 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Spurs | 5c | 944.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Spurs | 55c | 909.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Heat | 60c | 848.47$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.39 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Heat | 40c | 743.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Heat | 34c | 693$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.3 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Heat | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Heat | 58c | 664.99$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Spurs | 43c | 649.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.29 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Spurs | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 40c | 598.47$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 57c | 597.67$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Spurs | 64c | 560.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 43c | 532$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Spurs | 51c | 529.47$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Spurs | 2c | 520$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Spurs | 43c | 513.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Spurs | 41c | 502$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Heat | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Spurs | 3c | 466.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…d740backed Heat | 60c | 457.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 44c | 454.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Heat | 60c | 433.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 42c | 425$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.53 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 56c | 399.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 41c | 365.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Heat | 57c | 348$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs | 41c | 346.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Heat | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Heat | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs | 41c | 297.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Spurs | 10c | 292.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Heat | 51c | 292.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Heat | 78c | 281.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2cb4backed Spurs | 43c | 274.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Heat | 48c | 269.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…03a4backed Heat | 58c | 266.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Spurs | 32c | 265.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…aacbbacked Heat | 58c | 263.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…d34fbacked Heat | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…23cebacked Spurs | 43c | 258.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…12b1backed Heat | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Spurs | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…2946backed Spurs | 43c | 231.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…7562backed Spurs | 44c | 228.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…ea29backed Spurs | 43c | 222$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 59c | 220.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Heat | 56c | 216.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…7884backed Heat | 45c | 200.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Spurs | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Heat | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…e0c0backed Spurs | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4921backed Heat | 58c | 197.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…34e0backed Heat | 58c | 172.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…0450backed Spurs | 43c | 172.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Heat | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Spurs | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…8f6ebacked Heat | 58c | 164.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…6c66backed Spurs | 44c | 163.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Spurs | 42c | 162.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Heat | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Spurs | 33c | 151.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.