TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Boss Open: Struff vs. Lehecka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leheckaof Struff, Lehecka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb42d…e428backed Struff0c11,636$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c8…c481backed Lehecka72c8,874$6,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Struff29c7,280$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.9728043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Struff29c7,147$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.4957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Struff20c6,764$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.569826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Struff28c5,350$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b1…1306backed Lehecka67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.614341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Lehecka71c3,508$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.273435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lehecka68c2,207$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7071,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Struff32c2,207$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2a…6aaabacked Lehecka65c1,442$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6030…7325backed Lehecka67c1,206$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…bb91backed Lehecka75c1,177$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.944757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Struff35c980.72$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2512231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Struff35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.522021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lehecka65c679$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lehecka64c652.7$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.979137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…59f3backed Lehecka66c604.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.452360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Struff36c414.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Struff33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13231650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Struff35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Struff30c277.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.583324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Struff36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Struff27c157$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.732548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Struff28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Lehecka67c94.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0317767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…04b1backed Struff14c72.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Lehecka71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fa…c2acbacked Lehecka75c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.