South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068a9534ab83d79fc35199dd6d88c2d5090213d4a6761929df0c1de2b54f6782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 1,606$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.53 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 43c | 467.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 25c | 334.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Yes | 36c | 281.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 246.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 42c | 222.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 45c | 221.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 36c | 200.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f2b5backed Yes | 67c | 159$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…2b65backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Yes | 75c | 39.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 45c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.