Premier League · resolved market
Will Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1bccb5a048e36a686edd20b730cb5671cc87bd748662c22106e79e0a84fa15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 7,268$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 29c | 2,555$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…9f23backed Yes | 67c | 1,896$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 1,483$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.9 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 1,432$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,285$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 1,281$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.94 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 647.19$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 610$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 67c | 451.84$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…c6d3backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 54c | 397.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 59c | 349.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 341.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 218.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 204.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 21c | 194.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 12c | 152.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 145.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 25c | 137.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 110.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 108.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 48c | 104.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 28c | 103.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 52c | 91.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 90.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 52c | 85.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 25c | 80.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 73.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 63.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…79bebacked No | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…5d15backed Yes | 61c | 57.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed No | 71c | 38.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a978backed Yes | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…13d4backed Yes | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked No | 77c | 23.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 59c | 20.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.