TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pelicans, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…9ac8backed Pelicans13c33,624$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.853327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pelicans16c26,047$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.6219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons79c18,446$14,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.0629957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans8c18,321$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.0249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans14c16,213$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.8437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans17c11,000$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans13c9,200$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.9876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans16c7,636$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.162,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Pelicans17c6,955$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.418521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Pelicans25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans32c5,986$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.4548046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans23c4,843$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans18c4,830$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.1533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Pelicans21c4,254$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.453852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Pelicans19c3,765$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.378345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans32c3,750$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Pelicans26c3,679$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3634852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons74c3,499$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.5170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans16c3,324$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans30c3,281$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0279…6774backed Pelicans13c3,123$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed Pelicans29c2,821$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8071947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons76c2,663$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pistons76c2,622$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.936873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pelicans20c2,620$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4328347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e38…eb70backed Pelicans18c2,454$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.78205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Pelicans15c2,373$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.216346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons77c2,210$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9814034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pelicans33c2,094$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7866744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans13c2,077$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1859…fc9cbacked Pelicans24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pelicans19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Pelicans25c1,981$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pistons80c1,763$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2523237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Pelicans14c1,701$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.139836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans10c1,650$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans15c1,638$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7645743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pelicans34c1,465$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Pelicans18c1,357$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.254055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans18c1,300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pistons76c1,180$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans10c1,130$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0215613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Pelicans17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans35c801.66$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans16c759.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6336423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Pelicans13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pistons71c748.16$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6836751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15a…58fcbacked Pelicans17c705.76$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.984647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Pelicans14c700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Pelicans3c683.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…9f20backed Pistons63c635.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Pelicans16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons63c623.88$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Pelicans10c613.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.37646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans21c571.6$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans18c552.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed Pelicans17c511.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.923542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Pelicans16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Pelicans18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Pistons80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Pelicans17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Pelicans21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Pelicans32c475$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Pelicans34c422.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pelicans20c403.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2320447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Pelicans25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccda…4988backed Pelicans23c394.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Pelicans17c393.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.852941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans15c374.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.241,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans14c336.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Pelicans13c333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.297055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pistons76c309.2$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.230061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans20c304.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans14c271.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Pelicans20c256.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.233348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans6c243.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Pelicans21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons78c238.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.181,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d45…020fbacked Pelicans14c208.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.03728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Pelicans17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Pelicans25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdb…f0fdbacked Pelicans18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Pelicans35c199.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.967837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…b4f9backed Pelicans15c170$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…a098backed Pelicans13c170$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Pelicans29c160.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4727348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Pelicans13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pelicans17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.