Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6af29e79897695d62009ad9796cd607c12ddf2941bea5e5e553c74e31368dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 8,879$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.92 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 74c | 3,302$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 2,695$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.3 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 10c | 2,345$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 25c | 2,094$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.16 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,970$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,964$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 32c | 1,729$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,567$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 1,468$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 43c | 1,293$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 43c | 1,184$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 1,153$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 14c | 1,053$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…5ddabacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 32cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…165cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,030$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…7f3cbacked No | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,011$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed Yes | 64c | 930$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…aef5backed No | 36c | 930$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 1c | 856.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…edf1backed Yes | 13c | 745.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…3111backed No | 36c | 744.32$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 7c | 711.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 63c | 679.4$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 38c | 607$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed No | 76c | 555.23$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked No | 67c | 534.27$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 25c | 525.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…fec3backed Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…8ac9backed Yes | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 367.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 70c | 313.35$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…0e3fbacked Yes | 29c | 290$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 42c | 289.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 61c | 270$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 63c | 269$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 73c | 256.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 244$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 14c | 226.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 48c | 197.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed No | 75c | 195$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…d5d1backed No | 58c | 190.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 12c | 190.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…710cbacked No | 70c | 179.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 173.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…1e59backed No | 59c | 169.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 41c | 169.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Yes | 13c | 156.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 49c | 146.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 136$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…3b38backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked No | 39c | 120.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…6504backed No | 36c | 111.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed No | 34c | 110.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 71c | 105.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…ee86backed No | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…5711backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed No | 79c | 95.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e8…c471backed Yes | 18c | 84.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 42c | 78.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 29c | 64.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…a830backed Yes | 26c | 64.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…8b32backed No | 51c | 48.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…15bebacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 52c | 40.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…506cbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…817cbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…5ab2backed No | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…1065backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…e85cbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9995backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…c03ebacked No | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…2c88backed No | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…471fbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…acdfbacked No | 71c | 22.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked No | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8bc8backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…e209backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 63c | 19.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…ab5fbacked No | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.