Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump resign in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dbd7b90d7a729863a2f931406348ee5c7b79f227c6458cb727914ce96db63b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c1…768dbacked Yes | 6c | 17,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…4572backed Yes | 7c | 14,426$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…0beabacked Yes | 6c | 12,687$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 9,242$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 6c | 8,227$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 7,599$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.41 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Yes | 7c | 7,519$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…3e6fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,799$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,598$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 6c | 6,338$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…6cf4backed Yes | 4c | 6,326$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 2c | 5,705$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b38backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…291abacked Yes | 5c | 4,233$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…f886backed Yes | 5c | 3,938$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…ce21backed Yes | 6c | 3,219$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…9508backed Yes | 1c | 3,116$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…2ddabacked Yes | 3c | 3,051$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf60…4890backed Yes | 5c | 2,565$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,536$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…0449backed Yes | 4c | 2,484$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 4c | 2,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 2c | 2,222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…8b6bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…e9c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,769$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 2c | 1,737$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…b3b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,686$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c9…c458backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…60fcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,574$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 1,551$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,504$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…8790backed Yes | 6c | 1,377$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 1c | 1,343$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…f913backed Yes | 4c | 1,331$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 1,286$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…e96bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,242$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…b465backed Yes | 6c | 1,231$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 1,108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…87aabacked Yes | 6c | 1,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…db1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,015$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 1,013$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…e4cfbacked Yes | 6c | 874.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…33aabacked Yes | 4c | 872.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 6c | 806.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…e6a4backed Yes | 6c | 790.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 4c | 790.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…3a48backed Yes | 6c | 781.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…6df3backed Yes | 10c | 751.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…9c8ebacked Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…51d0backed Yes | 4c | 666.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 619.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 3c | 610.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…4daabacked Yes | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…42afbacked Yes | 8c | 590.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…fb75backed Yes | 9c | 566.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 4c | 512.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…2a27backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc489…4ec7backed Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…538bbacked Yes | 3c | 499.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…1a10backed Yes | 6c | 477.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 5c | 460.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…e700backed Yes | 5c | 456.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5891backed Yes | 7c | 454.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…a01dbacked Yes | 6c | 450.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…4092backed Yes | 4c | 424.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…b9b7backed Yes | 10c | 412.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…4ab1backed Yes | 6c | 406.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a1…7b89backed Yes | 7c | 378.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…eb98backed Yes | 7c | 366.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fa…4ce9backed Yes | 6c | 362.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…0a16backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…81babacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 6c | 325.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…dd5ebacked Yes | 4c | 319.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -76%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…b7a8backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…8636backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…723ebacked Yes | 7c | 287.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4d…7d08backed Yes | 6c | 267.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…d455backed Yes | 6c | 251.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 5c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…9e21backed Yes | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c1a6backed Yes | 6c | 232.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…7eedbacked Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 7c | 226.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3c19backed Yes | 5c | 224$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ec89backed Yes | 5c | 208.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d00…5745backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…1f27backed Yes | 6c | 186.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ea…2506backed Yes | 7c | 160.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…994bbacked Yes | 7c | 149.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.