Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe266dc3f6e0d6135d471b6ba99d4fff9f1ee8b0a98b2f5d3f4c2f553b2ace6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 1,385$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.41 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 44c | 983.88$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 902.06$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 601.64$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 437.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 349.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 243.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 47c | 218.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 99.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 87.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…2563backed Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…007bbacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 82.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 46c | 82.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 55c | 78.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 46c | 74.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 73.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 55c | 68.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 51c | 62.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 58.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…6727backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…ad93backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8804…5f52backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 46c | 33.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 30.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 46c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.