Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d3610bf3972e181c53212aa4a5ae2d9e0c1dc03c1371d1b6e99573ddbb1965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coventry City FCof Coventry City FC, Portsmouth FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portsmouth FC | 16c | 1,582$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Coventry City FC | 35c | 730.65$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.01 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portsmouth FC | 64c | 598.09$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Portsmouth FC | 5c | 235.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Portsmouth FC | 64c | 231.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Coventry City FC | 36c | 202.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Portsmouth FC | 64c | 170.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Coventry City FC | 35c | 166.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Portsmouth FC | 65c | 138.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Coventry City FC | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portsmouth FC | 62c | 87.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Portsmouth FC | 49c | 73.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Coventry City FC | 34c | 73.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Coventry City FC | 36c | 65.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Portsmouth FC | 62c | 65.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Coventry City FC | 38c | 63.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Portsmouth FC | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Portsmouth FC | 59c | 48.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Coventry City FC | 37c | 27.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Coventry City FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.