TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c42,532$22,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,533.086659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c10,641$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856.2718923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over46c7,741$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.776165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over46c5,999$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.62552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c4,475$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over46c3,648$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.114971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over46c3,387$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.846365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over46c2,903$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.295862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c2,768$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.8841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over70c2,063$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.063464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c1,752$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.5896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c1,619$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c1,593$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.4110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over67c1,463$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over74c1,391$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c1,305$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.7132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over40c1,150$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Over52c1,079$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.15666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.16369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over46c967.6$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.16170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over71c905.45$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.53250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c862.83$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under72c824.75$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over50c814.8$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Under48c783.11$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over46c774.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.085367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over46c774.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.086465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over46c774.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.086070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under53c754.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.688354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under31c752.92$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.715166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c725.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over10c687.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2114936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over67c667.88$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.485354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over42c604.81$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c581.52$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under28c573.37$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.83650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+121.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c564.37$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.652,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.052161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.555867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over43c448.09$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d7a4backed Under54c429.75$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5221650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over44c410.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+88.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over46c406.39$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.948360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over46c406.39$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.947358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under61c390.64$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.355219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over41c377.21$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over45c358.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.495242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over46c358.01$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.696861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe461…2a69backed Over14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Under58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.189154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over49c299.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under57c297.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over46c290.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.535168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over46c290.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.534866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over43c290.15$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.597546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under58c287.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8511349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over49c273.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c236.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.037051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over49c214.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.88232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.884553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under54c194.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c191.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under50c176.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.124860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under58c175.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.692466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over44c170.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.47248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over66c169.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over46c168.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5216526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c156.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over43c144.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.617740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.087262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under55c140.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over42c140.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0519952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.261040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c135.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c132.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.219056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under53c126.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.572065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d23…53d3backed Over22c124.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over47c117.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over45c113.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over47c110.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over69c107.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c104.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d47…3d24backed Over61c100.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under58c100.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.355653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.512142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c96.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…52e8backed Under30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under69c95.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Over18c91.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over40c91.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over41c88.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd20…069cbacked Under63c88.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.