Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc58b00127a390e39674455966aa5a72e057eb97146d07685f1e688bbd2628aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 4,125$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 3,118$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 1,188$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.91 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 44c | 792.45$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 590.26$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 43c | 555.56$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 488.74$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 464.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 462.2$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 459.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…375bbacked Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 41c | 408.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 51c | 404.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 58c | 359.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 47c | 338.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 72c | 329.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 303$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 40c | 265.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 59c | 231.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 49c | 217.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 41c | 205.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 55c | 201$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 68c | 175.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Yes | 42c | 174.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 17c | 169.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 165.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 70c | 159.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 50c | 156.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 139.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 80c | 123.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 44c | 118.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 51c | 109.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 47c | 94.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 92.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 92.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 59c | 91.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 41c | 90.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 41c | 78.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 59c | 77.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 59c | 71.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 64.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 71c | 61.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 39c | 54.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed No | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 54.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed No | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 42c | 46.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Yes | 37c | 41.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 73c | 38.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…a284backed Yes | 46c | 33.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 51c | 33.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…2d67backed Yes | 42c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 55c | 28.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…069cbacked No | 64c | 25.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 64c | 18.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…e292backed Yes | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.