Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63fd243f17035dcda5257309c14fd9e383b694c5665a574bc8060f29c8b71b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Rennais FC 1901of Stade Rennais FC 1901, RC Strasbourg Alsace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 71c | 3,845$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.8 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 27c | 2,597$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 1,050$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 29c | 797.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 47c | 265.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 27c | 250.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 29c | 143.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 76c | 100.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 71c | 54.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 77c | 21.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.