Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f1bc1deb261f94e6472342b758a8133c5affa9451b2d78c3b343871a9aa01fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 4,763$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.52 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 2,139$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.98 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 66c | 770.2$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.33 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 62c | 688.5$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 57c | 410.19$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.81 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 66c | 297.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 210.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 171.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 148.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 9c | 124.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,040%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 61c | 117.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 84.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…c240backed Yes | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 62c | 75.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 65.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 48.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Yes | 53c | 45.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 65c | 34.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 32.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 62c | 32.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 23.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 65c | 23.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.