Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a03ad4b4bc885c4ac01ed97d44b63e11a0a51f10342528fdb7c346afed6c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 58c | 4,931$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 44c | 4,393$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.8 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 63c | 2,660$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 2,533$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,033$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.74 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,813$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.68 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 1,588$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.58 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 59c | 1,441$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.77 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,395$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.52 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 1,366$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 41c | 1,100$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 878.63$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 749.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 674.93$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 626.42$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 44c | 614.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 557.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 289.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 39c | 246.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 45c | 216.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988c…90c1backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 38c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 56c | 176.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 164.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 143.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 126.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 112.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 67c | 99.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 41c | 90.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 57c | 75.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 54c | 69.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 37c | 62.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Over | 57c | 53.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 65c | 48.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 39c | 48.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 42.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 41c | 41.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 30.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 63c | 28.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 36c | 27.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 58c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.