Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb124cfb7247e671ad1ab6fefa4179a55522183f378311efa8620a227b96f13be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,597$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 19c | 1,298$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 54c | 771.24$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 717.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 610.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 80c | 495.14$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…b7c8backed Under | 80c | 432.25$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…bd88backed Under | 74c | 295.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 279.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 269.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b740backed Under | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 77c | 71.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 70.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 70c | 48.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.