Mls · resolved market
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5db3f7506667767c772b7f36463c752eacb3b66b9045893601fe28a05b7222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Galaxyof Columbus Crew, Los Angeles Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Columbus Crew | 33c | 16,268$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.22 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 2,330$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.88 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 984.72$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.96 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +512.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 797.21$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 56c | 766.22$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 638.64$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Columbus Crew | 71c | 557.13$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 48c | 451.2$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Columbus Crew | 32c | 412.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 315.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 304$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 300.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Columbus Crew | 33c | 220.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 194.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 194.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 194.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 182.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 122.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 107.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 98.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 92.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 79.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 78.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Columbus Crew | 33c | 66.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 66.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…6e0cbacked Columbus Crew | 33c | 65.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…c334backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 64.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 56c | 63.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 66c | 57.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 49.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 44.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 36.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 28.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Columbus Crew | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 64c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…dc7cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 65c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.