Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c01e19a0d8c5cd7f2fbd1a6dacb36aa3fdafed34e14cc93c719ae9c996d41b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 32c | 6,877$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,663$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 1,203$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 626.56$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 547.39$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.56 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 498.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked No | 77c | 420.37$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 6c | 415.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 388.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf487…3550backed Yes | 60c | 346$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 60c | 341$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 45c | 212.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 60c | 189.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 63c | 159.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 61c | 156.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 38c | 130.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 69c | 120.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 69c | 106.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 44c | 54.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 62c | 39.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 36c | 38.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 69c | 32.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 78c | 24.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 62c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…265bbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.