Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc60e5072ce7b34b411eae629e9284083ffcdcc139b3eee6ac5fe47a6418210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Over | 56c | 3,992$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,643$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 1,298$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 1,176$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 940.83$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 917.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.09 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 59c | 898.11$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 837.24$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 60c | 593.8$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 523.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 49c | 429.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 44c | 413.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 39c | 392.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 339.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 52c | 328.52$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 319.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 271.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 44c | 219.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 61c | 197.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 62c | 192.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 182.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 46c | 174.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 172.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 153.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Over | 75c | 131.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 61c | 131.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 118.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 115.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 38c | 102.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 85.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 68.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 17c | 60.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 38c | 57.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 39c | 54.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…ef1abacked Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 60c | 49.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 45.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 64c | 44.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 41c | 41.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 34c | 37.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 38c | 35.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 34.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…df67backed Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 46c | 31.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.