Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cdbccebb559e94b0a3b60c84fec49d22534273c483babecd4c6eb308cc82b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 58c | 11,742$6,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,810.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 42c | 6,667$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 42c | 4,276$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.19 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 40c | 1,324$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 822.85$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Over | 42c | 734$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 696.52$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…fe8abacked Over | 43c | 218.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…eb0abacked Under | 57c | 218$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…ef34backed Under | 57c | 215$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…d89bbacked Over | 43c | 211.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…c646backed Under | 57c | 209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…6791backed Under | 57c | 206$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…1c39backed Over | 43c | 205.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…edd5backed Over | 43c | 203.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…9156backed Over | 43c | 200.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…c6c1backed Over | 43c | 198.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…2f7fbacked Under | 57c | 197$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…04b3backed Under | 57c | 193$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 42c | 186.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 42c | 130.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 59c | 99.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 55c | 91.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…bff4backed Over | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 48c | 57.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 59c | 55.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 52.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 50.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 37.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0aecbacked Over | 42c | 24.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Viking FK vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.