CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b601da590f5d0020ed2f79b64414f037e90f05ff28d1c05759db07ab17d4a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 24c | 6,650$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed TDK | 78c | 2,250$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TDK | 74c | 1,679$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.94 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 75c | 1,625$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.17 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 25c | 1,541$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 75c | 1,423$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked TDK | 75c | 1,028$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 26c | 950$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed TDK | 75c | 919.92$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TNC | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 25c | 523.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed TDK | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked TDK | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked TDK | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed TNC | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…2000backed TDK | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…a48dbacked TDK | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TDK | 72c | 462$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TDK | 69c | 425.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked TDK | 74c | 386.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed TDK | 76c | 355.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed TNC | 37c | 239.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked TNC | 24c | 219.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed TDK | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed TDK | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 73c | 188.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TNC | 26c | 162.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 78c | 155.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TDK | 72c | 148.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked TDK | 76c | 148$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed TDK | 75c | 140.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed TDK | 75c | 134.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed TNC | 12c | 125.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked TDK | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed TNC | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed TDK | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TDK | 71c | 105.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 67c | 103.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed TNC | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed TDK | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed TDK | 61c | 81.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked TNC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TNC | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TDK | 73c | 79.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked TNC | 19c | 76.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…dbf7backed TNC | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed TDK | 51c | 66.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked TDK | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TNC | 26c | 60.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…1c2dbacked TNC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed TDK | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked TDK | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TDK | 74c | 51.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed TNC | 25c | 50.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed TDK | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TDK | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked TDK | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed TDK | 76c | 43.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked TNC | 26c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked TDK | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed TDK | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed TDK | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed TDK | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed TDK | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked TDK | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked TDK | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed TDK | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed TDK | 74c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TDK | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.