College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Florida?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e78417296f56995299bbe79119b19e27f1f4dd91c6db7a3bf6220490a174de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Florida | 10c | 12,981$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.74 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Georgia | 72c | 2,973$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.08 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Florida | 24c | 2,243$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.56 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Georgia | 69c | 2,108$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Florida | 20c | 1,719$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Florida | 18c | 1,502$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Florida | 24c | 1,126$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Florida | 30c | 1,096$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Georgia | 74c | 925.56$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…6334backed Florida | 33c | 812.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Georgia | 69c | 749.92$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Florida | 29c | 699.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 13c | 400.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Florida | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Georgia | 75c | 244.5$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…96f3backed Florida | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Georgia | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Georgia | 72c | 139.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Florida | 17c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Florida | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…0220backed Georgia | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Georgia | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…1b03backed Georgia | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Georgia | 72c | 68.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Georgia | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…048bbacked Florida | 29c | 49.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Florida | 31c | 45.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…4a41backed Georgia | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Florida?this page
- Will Georgia and Florida combine for 53 or more points?Over won
- Will Georgia beat Florida by 15 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.