CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7658dafe7263ee520181ab38355f2414d018f39c3db4258d971fa62a03c1b5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked fnatic | 79c | 4,384$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.45 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed ALGO Esports | 24c | 3,772$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 3,202$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ALGO Esports | 15c | 1,973$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALGO Esports | 14c | 1,972$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic | 75c | 1,103$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 75c | 1,002$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ALGO Esports | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 22c | 970.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ALGO Esports | 17c | 841.73$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports | 21c | 718.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 75c | 700.31$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked fnatic | 75c | 698$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 569.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed fnatic | 75c | 533.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed fnatic | 76c | 516.24$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed fnatic | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked fnatic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked fnatic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed fnatic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed fnatic | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed fnatic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked fnatic | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked ALGO Esports | 16c | 419.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 399.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALGO Esports | 25c | 371.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ALGO Esports | 10c | 371.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed fnatic | 76c | 350$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked fnatic | 79c | 311$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALGO Esports | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 305.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…fcdabacked fnatic | 78c | 299.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked fnatic | 80c | 294.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 266.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports | 25c | 262.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked fnatic | 79c | 254.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed fnatic | 74c | 215$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked ALGO Esports | 9c | 210.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ALGO Esports | 34c | 207.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed fnatic | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALGO Esports | 24c | 198.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed ALGO Esports | 30c | 194.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed fnatic | 70c | 182.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed fnatic | 79c | 166.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ALGO Esports | 25c | 135.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 121.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ALGO Esports | 19c | 119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed fnatic | 74c | 113.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked fnatic | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 106.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ALGO Esports | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed fnatic | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked ALGO Esports | 25c | 66.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked ALGO Esports | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed fnatic | 75c | 62.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALGO Esports | 20c | 55.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 52.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed fnatic | 78c | 38.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed fnatic | 78c | 38.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed fnatic | 79c | 30.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked fnatic | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed fnatic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed fnatic | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 78c | 21.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked fnatic | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed fnatic | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed fnatic | 72c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed fnatic | 78c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.