CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d31d8f20642ec3b2e0c32d52ec1a429e2e6c2464026499d6bff0d3cf6e94036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed fnatic | 64c | 3,070$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.82 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ALGO Esports | 76c | 1,146$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.69 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed fnatic | 72c | 1,136$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ALGO Esports | 37c | 1,067$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.41 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports | 71c | 962.89$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 73c | 799.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked ALGO Esports | 19c | 505.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked ALGO Esports | 58c | 277.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ALGO Esports | 75c | 269.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 35c | 215.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed fnatic | 69c | 215.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed fnatic | 58c | 196.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed fnatic | 32c | 188.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 166.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed fnatic | 52c | 154.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 45c | 131.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALGO Esports | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed ALGO Esports | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ALGO Esports | 38c | 103.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed ALGO Esports | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked fnatic | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…f950backed ALGO Esports | 36c | 79.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALGO Esports | 34c | 79.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed fnatic | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed fnatic | 27c | 74.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked fnatic | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed fnatic | 19c | 54.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed ALGO Esports | 44c | 50.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked fnatic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALGO Esports | 70c | 47.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ALGO Esports | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ALGO Esports | 45c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked fnatic | 46c | 21.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed ALGO Esports | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…6c84backed fnatic | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.