CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db7f8ff0bcb306f733e9ab89561d41197dff04d90a360bfb4cf4885be28ba96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ALGO Esports | 28c | 28,025$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,874.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed fnatic | 72c | 19,932$14,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,576.29 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked fnatic | 71c | 15,624$11,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.17 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 73c | 7,137$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.71 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports | 31c | 3,286$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALGO Esports | 29c | 1,657$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports | 32c | 1,599$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ALGO Esports | 21c | 1,168$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked ALGO Esports | 18c | 912.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 765$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked ALGO Esports | 21c | 490.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 419$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 406.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed ALGO Esports | 29c | 406$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed ALGO Esports | 24c | 395.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked ALGO Esports | 8c | 367.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed fnatic | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ALGO Esports | 23c | 360.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed ALGO Esports | 32c | 336.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 336.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ALGO Esports | 22c | 292$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 271$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ALGO Esports | 35c | 263.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 241.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed ALGO Esports | 24c | 241.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed ALGO Esports | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ALGO Esports | 31c | 232.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALGO Esports | 26c | 230.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALGO Esports | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ALGO Esports | 32c | 190.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALGO Esports | 21c | 176$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ALGO Esports | 26c | 154.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 131.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed ALGO Esports | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ALGO Esports | 24c | 111.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ALGO Esports | 28c | 96.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked ALGO Esports | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked fnatic | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed ALGO Esports | 33c | 45.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALGO Esports | 34c | 45.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ALGO Esports | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed ALGO Esports | 30c | 35.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed fnatic | 65c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.