Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf278e39abc005578685b3c38ad9ba6c59027b4220104a707c8929031435cb33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 5,319$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.94 | 209 | 24.4%51 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 79c | 3,719$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 3c | 2,526$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,270$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.44 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 16c | 1,858$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…1c1cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,375$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked No | 60c | 1,286$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…3a5abacked No | 56c | 1,073$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 9c | 966.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 71c | 747.76$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 3c | 716.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 55c | 676.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 487.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 467.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 32c | 433.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 30c | 409.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…42f8backed No | 68c | 359.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 60c | 318.55$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…eba0backed Yes | 5c | 304.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…a35ebacked No | 69c | 233.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…50a4backed Yes | 45c | 231.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 59c | 222.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…d067backed Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…1079backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 22c | 195.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 43c | 194.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 186.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1,083 | 35%379 W · 704 L | -94.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6c88backed Yes | 32c | 177.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…821ebacked Yes | 32c | 162.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…e16fbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…892fbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 128.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 33c | 101.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…b9f9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…34b8backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed Yes | 28c | 94.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 27c | 94.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 91.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…3761backed No | 58c | 86.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 40c | 82.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…530cbacked Yes | 18c | 74.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…027cbacked No | 70c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 56c | 66.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 243 | 25.9%63 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 24c | 56.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 203 | 23.6%48 W · 155 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…9384backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…7123backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 42c | 47.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed No | 32c | 47.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…ff46backed No | 68c | 46.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 65c | 46.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…0055backed Yes | 43c | 44.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 59c | 37.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 63c | 37.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 34.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 65c | 29.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…f1e3backed No | 73c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 163 | 76.7%125 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of April 20 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of April 20 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of April 20 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 20 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.