TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35aa…8bdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.01
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.6
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.09
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.28
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.24
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.47
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.79
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.84
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$199.56
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.93
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$44.27
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.28
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$52.41
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$39.67
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$216.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.37
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$123.68
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$231.93
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$100.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.