Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3e8c0aa3c7bdab4ae14b3995ab8404481d86bc81f8375c1765cb705ba07cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,437 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 44c | 3,765$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,395$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 1,734$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,183$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 56c | 952.41$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…ad9fbacked Under | 42c | 640.32$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 585.57$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 428.47$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 24c | 333.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 330$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Over | 56c | 282.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 24c | 151.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 44c | 151.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Under | 44c | 146.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 44c | 135.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 55c | 117.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 68c | 100.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 33c | 98.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 89.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 69c | 87.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 85.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 25c | 53.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 42.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 44c | 34.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 57c | 33.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 31.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 37c | 29.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 45c | 25.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 45c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 54c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78c…22d1backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 62c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.