Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422a3656701d904274d4338060af359f8f96234f96e6e33326c60700772fc4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Old Dominion Monarchs, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 23c | 4,640$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 9c | 2,966$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 80c | 1,734$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 1,627$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 20c | 1,509$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 1,361$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.16 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 75c | 1,313$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 1,164$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 844.42$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 677$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 28c | 675.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 68c | 656.04$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 57c | 585$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 57c | 446.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 48c | 445.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 36c | 399.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 373.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 35c | 330$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 37c | 288.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 78c | 274.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 10c | 274.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 32c | 235.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 215.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 207.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 191.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 51c | 170.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 137.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 131.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 36c | 105.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 40c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 38c | 73.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 63c | 64.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 59.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 52.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 63c | 45.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 23.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…80ddbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-3.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-4.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-5.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.