Asian League · resolved market
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821402e50e308ba5ce8a853f66b028d86c4110a6a0dbb905a4a3f2d851c7d1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 29c | 3,964$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.19 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 3,905$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 19c | 476.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 373.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 58c | 282.76$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed No | 43c | 229.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 195.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 7c | 170.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 21c | 157.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 124.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 56c | 107.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 94.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 45c | 85.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 57c | 69.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 63.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Yes | 57c | 59.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 50c | 59.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Yes | 57c | 58.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Yes | 57c | 57.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Yes | 57c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked No | 73c | 47.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 43.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 23.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.