Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e80be4d76c85e0da39adb682318767eec2cd6c576c596578d100f0de49ab884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 738.94$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.08 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Over | 63c | 502.81$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 474.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 40c | 237.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 56c | 235.8$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Under | 37c | 131.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Under | 37c | 128.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Under | 37c | 124.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 37c | 117.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 63.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 49.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 62c | 21.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.