TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Clippersof Knicks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,574 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers63c2,003$1,254 inWon+$749.355,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Knicks33c1,550$511 inLost-$511.49316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Knicks50c700$350 inLost-$3504367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Clippers57c441.47$250 inWon+$191.2126353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9317…6e69backed Clippers45c379.86$171 inWon+$208.922626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8360…26cabacked Knicks38c144.98$55 inLost-$55.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Knicks53c117.96$63 inLost-$62.5257444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Knicks55c112.65$62 inLost-$61.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…5c32backed Knicks55c107.94$59 inLost-$59.371030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb11d…3706backed Knicks55c104.46$57 inLost-$57.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon+$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed Knicks50c64$32 inLost-$329328%26 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Clippers50c60.74$30 inWon+$30.375558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…ba5fbacked Knicks55c54.81$30 inLost-$30.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Knicks50c54.3$27 inLost-$27.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Clippers64c46.88$30 inWon+$16.888744.8%39 W · 48 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4921backed Knicks56c35.66$20 inLost-$19.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Clippers61c34.9$21 inWon+$13.5637845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.