Europa Conference League · resolved market
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93bb23a7eac8924593ac771d4a8519edc294d5996a5c0408fe3e8cf85c32265e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,190 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 42c | 602.05$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Yes | 56c | 537.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Yes | 56c | 486.65$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 77c | 484.72$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 462.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 56c | 359.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 58c | 172.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed No | 44c | 139.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed No | 44c | 133.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed No | 44c | 133.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed No | 44c | 132.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 131.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed No | 44c | 123.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked No | 44c | 123.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 42c | 122.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed No | 44c | 120.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed No | 44c | 118.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 17c | 116.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 65c | 64.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 60c | 62.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Yes | 48c | 56.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 60c | 50.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…fa25backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…1f29backed Yes | 40c | 24.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Over won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)FK Shakhtar Donetsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.