Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe33093286a1cde46fa0bd4abb52513e5ed4a7aab095b2c1c9f1f4fedc14128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas State Red Wolvesof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 9c | 6,227$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 12c | 5,823$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.27 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 3,164$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 2,019$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 5c | 1,525$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 79c | 1,435$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 1,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 26c | 1,284$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.75 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 5c | 1,198$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 62c | 1,193$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 79c | 1,165$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 59c | 1,092$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 11c | 899.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 35c | 817.26$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 714.73$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 13c | 620.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 522.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 505.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 412.68$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…ccf2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 5c | 399.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 66c | 391.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 77c | 345.49$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 59c | 335.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 320.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 320.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 45c | 313.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 297.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 246.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 239.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 52c | 238.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 25c | 226$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 199.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 174.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 70c | 170.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 59c | 168.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 152.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 149.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 140.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 129.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 100.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 45c | 92.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…db11backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 57c | 87.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 73.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 17c | 63.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 58.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…3df1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 32c | 56.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 21c | 47.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 67c | 44.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 79c | 40.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 45c | 35.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 22.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 73c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 73c | 18.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 80c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 78c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesthis page
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 156.5Over won
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.