Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5424c32934d5d07daa8175a29877e3539cf65f333f7aead2ba580a01af4ab41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 44c | 48,632$21,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,135.23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 56c | 39,552$22,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,149.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 11,224$7,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,447.49 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 7,905$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.41 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 7,464$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.29 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 78c | 5,230$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 4,918$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.03 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 3,700$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.19 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 46c | 2,647$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 22c | 2,550$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 2,522$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.97 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Yes | 42c | 2,424$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 2,170$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.21 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,999$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.93 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 37c | 1,841$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 75c | 1,536$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,309$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 60c | 1,129$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 31c | 1,025$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 38c | 993$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 35c | 975$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 886.72$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 57c | 870.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 757.23$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.79 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 69c | 727.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 80c | 704.56$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 44c | 694.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.01 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 23c | 665.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 25c | 597.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 34c | 552.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 551.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 27c | 514.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 41c | 500.71$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 43c | 489$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 487.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 20c | 470.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.48 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Yes | 45c | 465.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 62c | 447.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…a3e8backed Yes | 77c | 427.87$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed No | 21c | 422.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 45c | 386.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 43c | 347.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 63c | 332$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 325.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 37c | 323.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 319.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…102bbacked Yes | 45c | 318$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Yes | 23c | 313.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 34c | 311.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 66c | 300.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 44c | 300.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…706ebacked Yes | 80c | 298.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +252.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 57c | 285.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 45c | 279.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…767dbacked Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 59c | 252.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 17c | 247.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 241.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 35c | 238.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 23c | 230.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 44c | 229.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 222.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 17c | 217.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…7ee6backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 27c | 184.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 42c | 172.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 157.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…745fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 56c | 131.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed Yes | 23c | 130.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +184.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 46c | 129.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 45c | 119.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.