Australian A League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x666e046bd280467cca2e8f85f6205849b79f4103b7b967635c317200efa3b86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,650 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 3,466$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.44 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 3,289$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.55 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,202$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…767dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,478$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,578$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 30c | 1,535$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 1,443$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 21c | 1,005$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 36c | 907.92$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 896.6$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 17c | 459.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 22c | 331.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 282$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 204.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 203$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 151$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 140.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 23c | 137$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 132.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 100.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde52…ec77backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 95.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 79.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 78.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 56c | 62.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes | 19c | 57.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Yes | 24c | 49.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 23c | 44.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…54e0backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 37c | 41.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Yes | 27c | 39.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 38.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 37.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 78c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 74c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d35backed No | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d2afbacked No | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.