Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nice: Maria Sara Popa vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79ab57a72f3bc8c8f2fddb8de80ebc2d1cecd9a70ad2f667ab89c3b5241944c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sara Popaof Maria Sara Popa, Yelyzaveta Kotliar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Maria Sara Popa | 42c | 419.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Maria Sara Popa | 41c | 260.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Maria Sara Popa | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 58c | 233.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 58c | 176.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 55c | 113.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 61c | 77.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Maria Sara Popa | 38c | 68.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 63c | 30.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Sara Popa | 59c | 28.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Maria Sara Popa | 74c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 54c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.