TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trickedof HOTU, Tricked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU61c7,156$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,345.055,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU60c5,493$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.412,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed HOTU57c4,339$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.1766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Tricked41c2,050$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.532544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Tricked38c1,850$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1471,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Tricked39c1,703$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.0222645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Tricked40c1,419$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.578445.2%38 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU59c1,278$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.034,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Tricked43c1,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.595133.3%17 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed HOTU60c1,157$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Tricked43c955$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.0333146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Tricked38c930.06$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.648540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Tricked40c925.88$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.8811140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU54c867.63$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5218356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Tricked42c827.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0631241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed HOTU59c709.18$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Tricked43c694.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Tricked40c631.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.964353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Tricked38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3723046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Tricked41c566.72$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1122542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked40c522.72$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9229044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked HOTU59c500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29426341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf8…94b6backed Tricked42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Tricked40c499.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9949935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked HOTU50c463.48$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9928657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Tricked40c459.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.485,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Tricked42c456.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.382347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Tricked46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Tricked42c422$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8135848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19be…2e91backed Tricked42c421.24$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Tricked39c354.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Tricked40c315$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1895540%22 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked Tricked43c284.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Tricked40c274.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.771,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked Tricked38c250.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.029445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Tricked43c208$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3119642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfc…22b8backed Tricked40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Tricked41c194$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5211745.3%53 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Tricked54c184.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4247447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Tricked38c184.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Tricked40c183.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.026541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Tricked40c182$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.551,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed HOTU60c174.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.352,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed HOTU61c164.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Tricked40c155$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed HOTU40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.914255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Tricked40c149.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.618054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Tricked65c147.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4710942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Tricked41c146.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5530951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Tricked46c138.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.213237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Tricked41c133.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Tricked52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed HOTU61c129.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.340155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked HOTU62c127.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.021,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed HOTU62c120.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7583856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tricked54c115.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.544,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Tricked40c103.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.120154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Tricked43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed HOTU49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed HOTU58c97.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4844552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a9…30bcbacked Tricked46c95.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Tricked38c89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.182536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked HOTU12c83.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8670…b34bbacked Tricked38c82.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.043148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Tricked38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU47c79.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.25,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed HOTU62c68.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.46253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…c97ebacked HOTU25c65.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Tricked40c64.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Tricked40c55.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2118747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…a2dfbacked Tricked46c54.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.526050%30 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed HOTU61c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…860ebacked Tricked38c52.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked37c51.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.241,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked Tricked43c50.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.674856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU45c47.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.134,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed HOTU60c45.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6337855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe856…9f78backed Tricked67c44.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked Tricked41c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Tricked66c42.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7223150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Tricked46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.617041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…8658backed HOTU61c33.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Tricked40c32.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.723158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed HOTU59c31.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Tricked65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7732956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Tricked58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.612343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b84…e88cbacked Tricked41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Tricked38c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.632845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tricked77c29.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.781,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Tricked40c29.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed HOTU47c28.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.146232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Tricked44c27.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.282560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked HOTU61c25.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6333657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed HOTU60c25.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0750056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked HOTU61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed HOTU61c21.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.948947.2%42 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d0…85e6backed Tricked73c20.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Tricked68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed HOTU60c16.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.167550.7%38 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed HOTU62c16.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1422059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.