CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32bf7ba4acf8ea8db9c98d0bf01a7c082396cbcb1bb093c1be55284cdd54722c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof HOTU, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tricked | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HOTU | 35c | 416.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Tricked | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed HOTU | 64c | 234.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 59c | 207.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 54c | 111.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked HOTU | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 64c | 97.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Tricked | 77c | 65.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed HOTU | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed HOTU | 65c | 63.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 66c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked HOTU | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…840dbacked HOTU | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTricked won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.