TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1d…860e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.68
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.62
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.53
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Metizport (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.27
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Cbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.25
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$37.45
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.71
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.95
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$189.96
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$37
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$61.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonbacked L Guide Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.