TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAWof SAW, Julie&cie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW57c10,383$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.815,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed SAW56c7,633$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.772,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Julie&cie44c2,262$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Julie&cie42c2,151$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.219543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Julie&cie42c1,878$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6927940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Julie&cie43c1,455$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.417948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SAW56c1,258$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.244,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Julie&cie43c1,082$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julie&cie48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed Julie&cie47c937.37$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4448544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Julie&cie44c932.64$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Julie&cie42c874.76$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.212,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked Julie&cie60c834$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.45966.1%39 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked SAW40c834$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.475056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Julie&cie47c581.54$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4310248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Julie&cie44c524.48$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Julie&cie38c499.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed SAW57c492.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9825747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed SAW80c485.45$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Julie&cie33c434.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Julie&cie47c408.51$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19244343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Julie&cie42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Julie&cie42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Julie&cie42c398.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7322645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Julie&cie52c384.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9528943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Julie&cie54c355.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.121545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SAW73c353.33$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.453,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie18c344.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.754,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Julie&cie41c340.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.511,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed SAW61c328.87$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.15251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Julie&cie41c300.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0722729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Julie&cie28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Julie&cie35c286.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2313350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Julie&cie34c275.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.722,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04f…c3a4backed Julie&cie40c273.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.971723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Julie&cie35c273.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.321,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Julie&cie50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Julie&cie40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10235839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Julie&cie42c250.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.091,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Julie&cie33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed SAW50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Julie&cie49c206.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0457641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Julie&cie11c204.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7b…b6bfbacked Julie&cie46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Julie&cie48c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9726246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Julie&cie45c197.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.112334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Julie&cie43c196$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.286747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Julie&cie44c191.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.380740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Julie&cie51c180.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Julie&cie40c178.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.288445.2%38 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Julie&cie41c175.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2346447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Julie&cie43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.114331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked SAW49c169.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8717545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Julie&cie19c162.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.266,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Julie&cie38c155.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.96541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked SAW59c153.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7416447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Julie&cie37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.522542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed SAW67c149.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed SAW53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5183856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed SAW46c138.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2832138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Julie&cie42c125.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Julie&cie39c125.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed SAW55c115.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.182,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa885…43e3backed Julie&cie25c115$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed SAW67c113.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6722059.1%130 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Julie&cie51c111.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed SAW53c111$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1774054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Julie&cie44c104.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed SAW65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…e12dbacked Julie&cie55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed SAW56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4437050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed SAW59c99.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.016253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…286bbacked Julie&cie38c97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed SAW79c95.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.324037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Julie&cie49c87.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438936%32 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Julie&cie25c84.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0834036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Julie&cie49c82.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.312252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SAW67c75.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.034,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie33c75.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.034,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julie&cie14c75.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.342,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed SAW57c63.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1621949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie&cie40c61.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.925,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Julie&cie42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed SAW56c57.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.699148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed SAW57c52.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4437855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…860ebacked Julie&cie36c51.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Julie&cie28c50.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.019740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Julie&cie39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.518233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x994e…5531backed SAW58c47.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Julie&cie31c45.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.986232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x510c…3239backed SAW60c44.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.881855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed SAW58c44.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6567750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Julie&cie42c42.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe856…9f78backed SAW72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked SAW73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.144675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Julie&cie42c39.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518757.5%50 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed SAW59c38.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.823154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Julie&cie42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Julie&cie43c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6225045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3581…7427backed SAW74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.583372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.