CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e40030b963637080b3894bd25ce7f9b8bdd81c7adecb91c6409a8c227c0f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed SAW | 72c | 11,813$8,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.04 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julie&cie | 32c | 4,663$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SAW | 76c | 2,327$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.18 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Julie&cie | 28c | 2,152$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.54 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Julie&cie | 25c | 1,780$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Julie&cie | 18c | 1,405$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW | 54c | 1,391$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Julie&cie | 23c | 1,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Julie&cie | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julie&cie | 47c | 684.83$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Julie&cie | 24c | 646.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SAW | 76c | 520$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Julie&cie | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SAW | 56c | 469.15$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Julie&cie | 18c | 436.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Julie&cie | 43c | 400$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SAW | 76c | 380.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 278$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Julie&cie | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Julie&cie | 50c | 227.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…87b7backed SAW | 78c | 207.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie | 21c | 200.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie | 43c | 184.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Julie&cie | 25c | 172.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Julie&cie | 38c | 158.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Julie&cie | 24c | 151.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Julie&cie | 23c | 150.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Julie&cie | 38c | 148.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Julie&cie | 26c | 139.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Julie&cie | 49c | 129.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed SAW | 55c | 120.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked SAW | 79c | 104.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Julie&cie | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Julie&cie | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Julie&cie | 25c | 99.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Julie&cie | 39c | 97.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Julie&cie | 39c | 93.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Julie&cie | 39c | 93.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Julie&cie | 49c | 85.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Julie&cie | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Julie&cie | 26c | 76.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Julie&cie | 49c | 63.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Julie&cie | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Julie&cie | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed SAW | 80c | 49.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed SAW | 60c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked Julie&cie | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Julie&cie | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed SAW | 75c | 37.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed SAW | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed SAW | 55c | 36.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…7137backed SAW | 66c | 33.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed SAW | 60c | 30.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Julie&cie | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Julie&cie | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed SAW | 78c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed SAW | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked SAW | 73c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group CSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.