CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb83fb113f004625f970a9c8a15794acd3e5b988e3464157c64d67f59e770b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Julie&cie | 35c | 9,247$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.07 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Julie&cie | 31c | 8,498$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.37 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SAW | 76c | 8,043$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.82 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 62c | 4,415$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW | 63c | 3,798$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Julie&cie | 29c | 1,900$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.23 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SAW | 52c | 1,423$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Julie&cie | 27c | 1,269$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW | 60c | 830.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Julie&cie | 12c | 818.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 764.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julie&cie | 47c | 701.12$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked SAW | 60c | 591.74$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Julie&cie | 44c | 494.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Julie&cie | 21c | 436.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked SAW | 58c | 430.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 71c | 370.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW | 73c | 363.35$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Julie&cie | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SAW | 65c | 316.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Julie&cie | 37c | 264.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SAW | 52c | 253.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked SAW | 61c | 243.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Julie&cie | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed SAW | 58c | 171$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Julie&cie | 28c | 168.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Julie&cie | 49c | 160.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Julie&cie | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Julie&cie | 48c | 146.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Julie&cie | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed SAW | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Julie&cie | 23c | 129.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked Julie&cie | 50c | 127.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SAW | 79c | 116.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Julie&cie | 28c | 114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Julie&cie | 48c | 113.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked SAW | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Julie&cie | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Julie&cie | 18c | 101.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Julie&cie | 18c | 101.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SAW | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Julie&cie | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Julie&cie | 28c | 96.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Julie&cie | 29c | 87.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Julie&cie | 18c | 69.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Julie&cie | 46c | 49.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SAW | 66c | 48.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SAW | 69c | 43.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Julie&cie | 31c | 40.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SAW | 52c | 31.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed SAW | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed SAW | 80c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Julie&cie | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked SAW | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group CSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.