CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e9b99af1a1d923a6024fe5041584d45a51f6bf23b505a8d93efc98a72724a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 60c | 6,429$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 6,043$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.7 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 39c | 1,873$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.61 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 42c | 1,605$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.82 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 39c | 1,040$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 38c | 815.51$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Over | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 39c | 495.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 39c | 418$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 38c | 356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Over | 39c | 338$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 42c | 269.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 40c | 268.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…c3a4backed Over | 39c | 262.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 40c | 253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 40c | 250.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 40c | 237.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 61c | 228.53$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 46c | 205.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 40c | 199.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 40c | 190.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 37c | 189.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 39c | 183.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 40c | 176$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 38c | 164.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 40c | 160.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Over | 38c | 155.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 40c | 126.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…acd6backed Over | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 40c | 107.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed Under | 62c | 60.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 39c | 55.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 60c | 49.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 38c | 41.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Over | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 40c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…5531backed Under | 61c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group CSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)SAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.