CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac89402046a0341cbe2c84942c42947e38730aaf68b452af4cf1c87a2b9f8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA Academy | 38c | 6,105$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 1,643$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 1,489$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 1,407$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.43 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 1,186$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 1,038$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed BESTIA Academy | 31c | 449.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked BESTIA Academy | 26c | 399.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 390.48$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 347.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 325.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 306$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA Academy | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yawara Esports | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed BESTIA Academy | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yawara Esports | 72c | 215.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 151.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…fe1dbacked BESTIA Academy | 28c | 137.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked BESTIA Academy | 29c | 107.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA Academy | 30c | 105.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 101.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BESTIA Academy | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 92.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed BESTIA Academy | 30c | 89.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 82.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA Academy | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked BESTIA Academy | 31c | 70.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA Academy | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed BESTIA Academy | 30c | 57.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…860ebacked BESTIA Academy | 28c | 51.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed BESTIA Academy | 28c | 45.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Yawara Esports | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed BESTIA Academy | 30c | 41.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 35.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yawara Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.