CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa25ff613de408f7b1eac32d391b48de5e9cd0d46b46552163e23894af66629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 65c | 5,297$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 33c | 1,680$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.17 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Over | 35c | 1,225$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.47 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 33c | 1,111$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.61 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 65c | 1,077$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Under | 60c | 414.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 61c | 346.53$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 36c | 320.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 35c | 317.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 42c | 292.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 279.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Over | 40c | 256.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 33c | 202.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 39c | 178.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 38c | 165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 36c | 111.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 58c | 82.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Over | 34c | 81.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 34c | 78.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 46c | 53.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed Under | 66c | 48.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Over | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 34c | 45.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…5531backed Under | 68c | 30.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed Under | 67c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 66c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.