Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833973362c93d8f2d52a8727d7b081a7b6e56b6842047aaea8ea5e583d037e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 58c | 12,955$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.81 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 56c | 11,536$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.74 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.8 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 3,930$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.31 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 42c | 3,872$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.38 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 45c | 3,681$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.14 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…110abacked Under | 44c | 2,536$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Under | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 43c | 1,459$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.87 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 44c | 1,213$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.54 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 44c | 1,132$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.14 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 44c | 817.39$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 56c | 758.75$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.12 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 42c | 704.76$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Under | 42c | 616.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 42c | 576.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 44c | 568.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 42c | 552.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 42c | 540.48$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 44c | 528.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 56c | 525$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 484.35$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Under | 42c | 478.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 45c | 430.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 42c | 373.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 59c | 322.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Under | 42c | 299.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 50c | 273.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 42c | 245.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under | 42c | 184.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 44c | 146.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 42c | 124$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 76.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 43c | 63.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked Under | 42c | 43.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 45c | 33.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 59c | 32.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 42c | 31.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 44c | 28.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 53c | 26.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 56c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 57c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.